Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.199888 0.227252 0.256597 0.290359 0.328085 0.368892 0.416325
2026-02-08 0.160075 0.196043 0.237191 0.287583 0.347454 0.416130 0.500678
2026-02-15 0.132246 0.172796 0.221852 0.285214 0.364495 0.459990 0.583257
2026-02-22 0.115093 0.159242 0.215341 0.291233 0.390513 0.515179 0.682657
2026-03-01 0.099226 0.144740 0.205236 0.290597 0.406830 0.558307 0.769132
2026-03-08 0.086747 0.132866 0.196753 0.290421 0.422666 0.600840 0.856748
2026-03-15 0.076721 0.122982 0.189573 0.290709 0.438298 0.643235 0.946048
2026-03-22 0.069701 0.116519 0.186325 0.295811 0.460433 0.695306 1.051261
2026-03-29 0.064369 0.111904 0.185136 0.303451 0.486294 0.753691 1.168360
2026-04-05 0.058634 0.105908 0.181089 0.306084 0.504402 0.801354 1.272026
2026-04-12 0.054342 0.101745 0.179406 0.312011 0.527584 0.857456 1.390868
2026-04-19 0.050827 0.098473 0.178760 0.319332 0.553130 0.918204 1.519608
2026-04-26 0.045944 0.092365 0.172998 0.318023 0.565162 0.959441 1.621829
2026-05-03 0.041632 0.086791 0.167590 0.316765 0.577016 1.000877 1.726476
2026-05-10 0.037759 0.081576 0.162283 0.315127 0.587912 1.041118 1.831084
2026-05-17 0.035516 0.079258 0.161969 0.322235 0.614153 1.107828 1.982245
2026-05-24 0.032524 0.075077 0.157764 0.321820 0.626969 1.152485 2.098664
2026-05-31 0.029889 0.071313 0.153973 0.321780 0.640278 1.198446 2.219288
2026-06-07 0.027567 0.067935 0.150596 0.322179 0.654257 1.246074 2.344833
2026-06-14 0.026000 0.066026 0.149972 0.327822 0.678236 1.312377 2.505916
2026-06-21 0.024823 0.064856 0.150738 0.336229 0.707872 1.390128 2.690683
2026-06-28 0.023235 0.062545 0.148885 0.339131 0.726965 1.449530 2.845072
2026-07-05 0.022080 0.061126 0.148804 0.345640 0.753429 1.523639 3.029318